Tag: global economy

  • What are the different types of economies in the world and where does the US rank in terms of economic freedom?

    We know economics is all about putting resources to their best use, so we get the most out of it. Economists use a fancy term called “allocative efficiency” to describe it. By resources, we mean land, labor, capital, entrepreneurial ability, and time.

    Now, you may ask could there be different types of economies or economic systems to make the best use of limited (scarce) resources? Yes, indeed. These economic systems help to answer the three essential economic questions of what to produce, how to produce, and for whom to produce?

    Let’s take a quick look at the three most common economic systems around the world: they are 1. free market, also called the market economy, 2. centrally planned economy also called the command economy, and 3. mixed economy or Keynesian economy

    I don’t want to bore you with lots of text, so briefly I will explain these. But before you leave, make sure to scroll down to check an interesting chart comparing different countries in 2022. I know we all like visuals to better understand something.

    So here are the three famous systems:

    Market economy: In this type of economy, goods and services exchange freely through market supply and demand forces. In economics, it’s called Laizzes Faire, which means a policy of letting things happen their way, without interference. So, in this system consumers and firms interact freely and maximize their incentives without government intervention. Now, you as a consumer should typically act to satisfy your utility by demanding products you want or need. Similarly, all consumers will do the same. So, consumers signal the producers in the market about what to make and what not to make based on their demand. This helps to answer the question of what goods and services to produce.

    Firms act to satisfy their profit motives by producing products at a minimal cost. Because businesses want to get maximum profits, they will adjust the production process to minimize costs so there’s less wastage of resources. This helps to answer the question of how to produce goods and services. Also, no single producer is required to know all the information in terms how many competing producers are there, and what is alternative use of his resources. Prices set by demand of consumers, and supply of every other producer can give him that signal to produce in the best possible way. Because if he charges more than others or don’t make the products people demand, people will not buy his product and go to the one next to him, given the other producer is local and they sell identical products. This has become easier with so many online shops now a days. Thus, the invisible hand or natural market forces will answer the question for whom goods and services are produced.

    Let’s take an example, if more people demand more of a specific good, like iPhone, its price tends to rise as well. This happens because we as consumers are willing to pay more for that good. Acting in response, producers wanting more profit, will increase production to satisfy the demand of people. As a result, a market economy tends to naturally balance itself.

    Whenever we see a rise in prices in one sector of an industry due to high demand, the scarce resources, such as land, labor, capital, and entrepreneurship shift to those areas where they’re needed the most. In the free market economy., the role of the government is only limited to protecting property rights, this way there is a guarantee of fair competition in the marketplace. People can protect their ideas through patents and copyrights, and this encourages innovation. Thus, a free-market economy is the one with the least amount of government intervention.

    Command economy: On the opposite spectrum is the command economy, where the entire price set up and distribution of goods and services are controlled by a central planner or the government. All economic and political decisions are taken by the government or a central committee of very limited people. They decide how to allocate the country’s limited resources. North Korea is one example of this type of economic system. This type of economy is commonly seen in communist countries. Natural market forces of supply and demand can’t decide the price and quantity of goods and services produced and consumed.

    Generally, people living in these countries don’t have a high standard of living and don’t enjoy economic freedom. By “economic freedom” we mean the ability to choose to produce something or consume something based on your ability and need. Since the government fails to collect all the information correctly about what to produce and how to produce, a lot of wastage happens. People who advocate a command economy think this system is more equitable because everybody gets an equal share. But at the core of economics is the belief that people want to act for their self-interest. As a result, there is less incentive for businesses to work hard and employ better production techniques to maximize profits. Because if someone doesn’t get to keep the extra share, why work hard for it?

    There are flaws in both pure market economy and command economy

    Let’s investigate, why both these economic systems are not perfect. We just discussed why the command economy is not a great system, but we also need to know what the limitations of a free-market economy are as well.

    In a free market, sometimes, markets can waste scarce resources by producing products at higher than necessary costs. This usually happens when there is very less competition or if one producer displays a monopoly. Due to a lack of competition, there’s no real pressure to bring down costs as a result, prices are inflated. The second type of market failure happens in the case of public goods. Private businesses don’t want to produce these public goods, even though we all collectively enjoy these, and are very necessary for the safety and well-being of our people. Since these types of investments are usually not profitable for private firms to produce, they don’t do that. Services like infrastructure or military, police services or fire departments, parks, basic k-12 education and healthcare for the poor. So, if we are only left to the free market, the people would go without these goods and services and not have basic needs and wants met. Also, there will be more unequal distribution of income and people may have extreme inequalities. So, to solve this problem, some role of government is vital. This type of system is called a Mixed economy.

    Mixed economy: Thus in the real world, pure market economies rarely exist because there is usually some government regulation or intervention needed for smooth function. In most countries, like the US, public education, security, law and order, nuclear energy, social security benefits, public goods like parks, and defense are provided by the government. The government also provides regulation, so businesses don’t create monopolies and exploit people by charging very high prices. The government also invests in scientific research to develop future businesses and industries. Additionally, when the economy is not behaving optimally, ie. when a lot of people are unemployed (as in a recession) or if the prices are too high (inflation), government intervention is needed to get the economy back to full employment and achieve stable prices.

    How much role the government plays in an economy can vary between countries, but in countries with higher real GDP per capita, there has been less government intervention and more free-market play. In this economic system, the government or the public sector and the free market also known as the private sector, work together to meet social needs. The free-market system is allowed to work independently, but the government intervenes to avoid market failures. Thus, we see this mixed economic system as the most common economic system around the world today.

    Here’s a chart from Heritage Index showing how different countries enjoy economic freedom. In their study, they used twelve economic freedom categories. Within these categories, they graded the freedom of doing it on a scale of 0 to 100. It’s interesting to see the twelve economic freedom indicators, which they use to calculate a country’s overall score. Here is the list, I got from their website. https://www.heritage.org/index/about

    • Rule of Law (property rights, government integrity, judicial effectiveness)
    • Government Size (government spending, tax burden, fiscal health)
    • Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labor freedom, monetary freedom)
    • Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom)

    The study gives equal weight to each of the above factors.

    Economic systems and economic freedom experienced in countries of the world

    As you can see, countries with the highest score in economic freedom from 80-to 100, are in darker green. Countries with the least economic freedom are in red.
     
    From the chart, you can see China, North Korea, Zimbabwe, Cuba, and Venezuela have the least economic freedom because of a command economy.
     
    On the other hand, Singapore, New Zealand, Ireland, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Taiwan, and Estonia have the most economic freedom. When we look at the real GDP per capita of these countries, the people living there mostly have a higher standard of living. All these countries are highly advanced, free-market economies, mainly because of their open and corruption-free business environment. In all these countries, there is a well-secured property right to stimulate entrepreneurship and innovation. There is also a very high level of transparency and government accountability.
     
    Many other countries, like India, Mexico, Brazil, and Russia show poor to moderate levels of economic freedom. Even though countries like India are opening from their initial planned structure, there is still a lot of bureaucratic red tape that hinders setting up new businesses easily there. In addition, there is a lot of political corruption and scandals. Unfortunately, many of them are not even reported.

    Originally from India, I can’t stop noticing the score India got in this ranking. Unfortunately, it still got very low score in the economic freedom index. Despite considerable liberalization since 1990s, India still has a lot of government controlled sectors and capital market. International participation in many industries is still limited compared to many other countries that rank higher in the economic freedom index. Also, In India, property rights are not very well established, which hinders free enterprise and technological innovation. Reservation system based on cast, instead of socio economic status is another deterrent in its economic performance. All of this combined has caused the infamous brain-drain, where a lot of highly skilled class move to other countries for a better lifestyle. Unless all these changes are made, India is still has a long way to catch up in the economic freedom score.
     
    The US and the UK and many advanced countries are mixed economies. They are under the “mostly free category” denoted in the light green color. According to their report, the US economic freedom score is 72.1, which makes it the 25th freest country in the world to do business in. The US private property rights are secured, and contracts are protected and enforced.
     
    It’s interesting to note that countries with higher economic freedom also have higher GDP per capita and higher happiness indexes. So, we can conclude that, overall, less government intervention (only limited to areas where the market fails), is needed for countries to do better economically.
  • Global economy will slow down in 2022 and 2023. What policy measures the governments should take to get back to growth trajectory?

    IMF projects lower global GDP growth of 3.6% for the next two years

    IMF’s World Economic Outlook report published on April 19, 2022 has predicted a drop in the GDP growth of the world economies in the years 2022 and 2023 to 3.6%. This downward revision is from their previous estimate of 6.1%, largely because of the war in Ukraine. IMF publishes this report twice every year.

    Below is the chart from IMF showing these growth projections by region. These projections are for real GDP growth and not nominal GDP growth. As changes in real GDP are the most popular indicator of a country’s overall economic condition. If you want to know more about the US GDP and its components, please click here.

    Countries, like the United States, the EU, Japan, the UK, Canada, and other advanced countries are projected to grow on an average of 3.3% in 2022 and only 2.4% in 2023.

    The emerging market and developing countries such as India are projected to grow at 8.2% in 2022 and 6.9% in 2023. Whereas because of the lockdown in Shanghai, China, the projected growth is slightly lower at 4.4% in 2022 and it is expected to be 5.1% in 2023, as the lockdowns are eased.

    As expected, there is a severe double-digit drop (-35%) in GDP projection for Ukraine in 2022. They also project a contraction for Russia due to sanctions and European countries’ decisions to reduce energy imports. The war has also severely impacted emerging and developing Europe, which shares proximity to the war area with an expected fall of 2.9% in their real GDP in 2022. There is a hope of some recovery in 2023 with GDP growth returning to 1.3%. Russia will see a GDP growth of -8.5% in 2022 and -2.3% in 2023.

    The two charts below show the GDP growth comparison in some major countries of the world after the start of the global pandemic. The first chart shows the performance in the years 2020 and 21.

    The second chart shows the projections by IMF for the years 2022 and 2023.

    Sadly, the war just doesn’t affect the countries directly involved, its economic costs and implications are widespread. Through commodity markets, trade, and to some extent financial interlinkages of the countries, the war can indirectly affect so many more countries.

    Globally we are seeing rise in fuel and food prices since late 2021. The fear of War is aggravating high inflation problem even further. Unfortunately, the world’s poor population, particularly in low-income countries is getting the most impacted by this. To know more about inflation, please click here.

    Many leading economists propose mutual efforts by countries to respond to the war crisis and prevent further economic fragmentation. At the same time, it is important to manage the debt problem, tackle climate change and end the pandemic to bring back economic growth.

    Fighting inflation without slowing down the economy is the toughest challenge many central banks are facing currently. To know more about monetary policy and the role of a central bank, in controlling inflation, please click here.

  • What is economics and why should I learn it?

    A lot of people think economics is all about money, banks, complicated graphs, and mathematical modeling, but truly speaking it is much more interesting than that.

    So, what exactly is Economics?

    Economics is a study of human behavior, understanding the choices people make with their limited resources. By resources, we mean the tools needed to produce goods and services for humans consumption for a comfortable life. These resources are usually classified into 1)land, 2)labor, 3)capital such as tools and machinery, 4)human capital or entrepreneurship, and 5)our precious time.

    We don’t usually have an infinite amount of these resources, so how do we allocate the limited resources to make us better off and happier? In short, Economics deals with our struggle to achieve happiness in a world full of constraints and limitations.

    The word Economics comes from the Greek word oikonomia, which means household management. It starts with an individual making a tradeoff, choosing the best option that satisfies their wants, and forgoing the other best alternative use of their resources. From individual households, it moves to businesses, deciding what and how much to produce and sell. And lastly, government and the central bank decide when and how to intervene to ensure maximum happiness for its citizens.

    We are making choices every single day. For example, if you are reading this, you have chosen to gain some knowledge vs. maybe, watching a TV Show or doing something else.

    While reading this, you think you are making the best use of your time. (or at least I hope you do 😉 In short, you apply economics every minute (even when you don’t know it).

    What does the field of Economics cover?

    As you learn Economics, you can find answers to some fascinating questions such as:

    • How the price of anything is set?
    • How do we measure a country’s prosperity?
    • Why are some countries rich, while others are still poor?
    • What is inflation?
    • How do we understand business cycles?
    • What tools do the central bank and government use when the economy is facing inflation or a recession?
    • Is international trade a good thing?
    • And is reading this article even worth my time?

    Trust me, the list is endless. There is a wide variety of areas that economics can cover. Economists try to solve many of these problems our world is facing today by simply understanding human behavior and the choices people make. I might have used the word choice a lot here, but hope you got the idea?

    You will understand our rapidly evolving complex economies and how the economic fundamentals can still explain the changes.

    You can apply Economics in your day-to-day life, such as while analyzing the cost and benefits of a particular decision you are going to make and managing your finances.

    Similarly, you will also understand how economic principles apply to the businesses around us from a small local donut shop to a big company like Apple.

    Understanding economics will enable you to evaluate the feasibility of promises made by politicians to get your vote.

    Believe it or not, Economics can also help us understand the best strategy to deal with environmental issues, such as global warming and pollution.

    Last but not least, since Economics is based on human behavior, there can be more than one view on any economic issue. It’s not an absolute science and many times economists differ on how a certain situation should be handled.

    When you study Economics, you can acquire the necessary skills to argue why a specific viewpoint makes more sense to you.

    Some key principles of economics are:

    • Everything has an opportunity cost and experiences diminishing returns.
    • People are rational (for the most part) and act in their self-interest (even charity is considered self-interest since it gives you some happiness).
    • Supply and demand interact through an invisible hand.
    • Comparative advantage fosters trade.
    • People think on the margin.

    I will explain the above points in detail in my other posts. We will also dig into the two main subdivisions of economics: macroeconomics and microeconomics. We are only getting started!